RCI is corrupt - I believe it...
You have been listening to timeshare salesmen too long instead of reading the boards at TUG if you think all red trades the same.
The impact on trading power - both in and out - from bulkbanking is the clearest evidence of the impact of supply and demand in the weeks based exchange system. It has been discussed on TUG over and over again. It baffles me that you just don't seem to get it.
Your theory goes against all of the collective experience of Tuggers with exchanging. Let's see if there is anyone else out there that buys this theory. I doubt that even the usual little group of regular defenders of RCI and points on these boards will even support you on this one.
As to RCI's own comments on how trading power is calculated, you might check the Ask RCI FAQ's, where in #1B, they give the first factor in trading power as
"supply, demand, and usage of the week, resort, and area"
Yes, they may always be lying, but the actual experience of Tuggers, as well as the comments of RCI insider who gave straight answers on these boards, Bootleg, indicate that they are telling the truth this time.
If there is anyone here that should believe that RCI is a totally corrupt company it should be you - you seem to defend RCI Weeks as a pillar of virtue.
I believe that the RCI Week system is a totally corrupt system - one worthy of studying and exploiting. I don't assume for a second it makes any sense or plays by the rules.
Here is my methodology in reverse engineering II and RCI weeks:
1) I assumed that the system was totally corrupt – no level playing field and favored the exchange company to make as many exchanges possible with as few complaints possible
2) It would be extremely simple and have few rules – it would be very crude internally and look complex externally
3) I take the exchange company at it’s word as to the number of seasons (3) they have – it’s that crude
4) I take the exchange company at it’s word as to the unit sizes – it’s that crude
5) It would have a randomness added to disguise the rules and that binominal randomness would result in no outrageously hard or easy exchanges – i.e. the randomness would not hurt the exchange company nor favor the member
6) Supply/demand would simply be a way to remove ALL trading rules if more than 1 reservation existed per unit (This is important to Marriott II exchanges)
7) The timestamp of when an ongoing search began would be a very key item in awarding a match to multiple ongoing searches
8) The ongoing searches use this logic and instant searches would not implement supply/demand and convert TP to something looking far more complex to outsiders
The II accident with WM owners earlier this week was 100% exactly what I had guessed TP was in both II and RCI – totally corrupt. I am now convinced that supply/demand is just as simple and corrupt.
Using the above I have devised strategies designed to embrace those assumptions to maximize a corrupt system as much as I can. One of them is just plain old brute force – 12+ open exchanges and many contain duplicates requests. Duplicate requests will be affected by the TP randomness – some will gain TP and some will lose TP; I don’t know which is which until a match is made and then it’s too late anyway.
This is as much as I wish to divulge now and should help folks better their chances at a successful exchange. I would imagine this logic is different than most members’ perception of how exchanges work.
Can I prove any of the above? Of course not – neither can anyone refute them – the internal workings of II and RCI are 100% opaque. If you don’t like my assumptions make your own and see if they work any better – I bet they don’t.
The only reason I can think you need to defend RCI against corruption charges is to keep them viable as you sue the stuffing out of them - that's my guess.
P.S.
Here is the II TP I saw earlier this week - RCI is exactly the same but the numbers are probably different:
***** II Trading Power Defined *******
Red Season: (Highest demand)
Studio=1 Point
1BR=1.42 Points
2BR=2 Points
3BR=2.42 Points
Yellow Season: (Medium demand)
Studio=.75 Points
1BR=1 Points
2BR=1.42 Points
3BR=2 Points
4BR=2.42 Points
Green Season: (Lowest demand)
Studio=.5 Points
1BR=.75 Points
2BR= 1 Points
3BR=1.42 Points
4BR=2 Points
Copyright (C) Perry Myklebost, permission is given to TUG to reprint.
P.P.S.
The number 1.42 is an example of randomness thrown in to disguise the simple corrupt rules.